Google’s one-of-a-kind computer network gives it a chance to surpass Microsoft to become the most dominant company in tech, according to the author of a recently published book on the search giant.
But what’s next? Author Stephen Arnold has closely analyzed Google patents, engineering documents and technology and has concluded that Google has a grand ambition — to push the information age off the desktop and onto the Internet. Google, he argues, is aiming to be the network computer platform for delivering so-called "virtual" applications, or software that allows a user to perform a task on any device with an Internet connection.
Google already has plenty of influence. It handles nearly half of the world’s Web searches. It is hiring some of the biggest names in the industry, from the controversial Kai-Fu Lee of Microsoft to the legendary Vint Cerf, an early Internet pioneer. And it has become such the topic du jour in Silicon Valley that its search for a new corporate chef warrants significant local news coverage.
Google is this era’s transformational computing platform and could be about to unseat Microsoft from its throne, Arnold writes in a summary of his book, "The Google Legacy: How Google’s Internet Search is Transforming Application Software," published recently.
The big question, of course, is what exactly CEO Eric Schmidt & Co. plan to do with that war chest.
For all of its wild success, about 99 percent of Google’s revenue still comes from advertising, mostly from Internet keyword searches. Certainly, it has built on the core business, adding everything from the Gmail free Web-based e-mail service to Google Earth, a satellite mapping service. And it has plenty of cash to spend on new technology — nearly US$7 billion in cash, US$4 billion alone from a secondary stock offering on September 14.
In his book, Arnold concludes that Google has created a supercomputer ready to deliver a host of applications to anyone with a Web browser.
The notion of a network computer isn’t new. Sun Microsystems CEO Scott McNealy has for years been saying "the network is the computer." Oracle CEO Larry Ellison formed a company around the idea. It was called the "New Internet Computer Company," and it sold Web surfing devices before shuttering two years ago.
But unlike Sun and Oracle, Google’s timing could be impeccable, Arnold argues. "Sun defined it. Ellison tried to build it. But Google owns it," he said.
The Secret Sauce
In short, from early on, Google founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page resourcefully figured out how to cluster lots of cheap servers and open-source software, configured to act like individual light bulbs on a Christmas tree that can be added or replaced without making the whole tree go dark, according to Arnold.
Indeed, Google representatives proudly display the company’s unique rack-mounted server system to visitors at the Mountain View, California, campus.
Google’s architecture can scale. Using commodity hardware, Google can deploy more capacity at a lower cost and more quickly than a competitor relying on a system built with brand-name hardware, Arnold writes in his book.
Dark Fiber, Wireless
Google’s interest in unused fiber optic, also known as "dark fiber," seems to support Arnold’s theory.
Dark fiber will enable greater dependency on what I call virtual applications, he said. Once those high-speed connections link the dozen or so Google data centers, they will do stuff better, enable much more than telephony, media delivery.
A lot of people have talked about Google’s core ability to host thousands of applications and being your desktop in the sky, he said. They certainly never fail to take advantage of it when launching new products.
Google also has invested in Current Communications Group, a provider of broadband-over-power-line technology. In addition, there are rumors that Google is eyeing satellite, technology that drives its 3D Google Earth application.
They said, back when they invested in the Internet-over-power-lines company, that part of their corporate mission is ‘promoting universal access to the Internet for users,’ said Danny Sullivan, editor of Search Engine Watch. "They seem to think they need to make sure everybody can get online, and running your own network certainly makes that a lot easier."
Meanwhile, Google quietly launched Google Secure Access, a beta version of a downloadable client application that allows users to establish a secure, encrypted network connection while using a Wi-Fi wireless network. The program can be downloaded at certain Google Wi-Fi locations in the San Francisco Bay Area, Google said, without stating exactly where those locations are.
Google spokesman Nate Tyler told Reuters that it was running a limited test of a free wireless Internet service, called Google Wi-Fi, with hot spots in a pizza parlor and a gym located near the company’s headquarters.
Offering Internet access gets more potential Google users online and gives the company another way to target consumers with ads, particularly location-based advertisements for wireless users.
Voice over Internet communications is also a likely target, analysts said.
If the traffic is flowing across the Internet, you have no idea how many routers the traffic has gone through, which can impact the quality of the call, said Michael Howard, an analyst at Infonetics Research. But if the traffic travels on your own network, you can control the quality. That could be reason enough to build a network.
Video is another possibility. Google hosts people’s downloaded video for free and indexes and searches it.
It is pretty evident that they will have some play in video distribution. How that is going to come out is still a mystery, said Vamsi Sistla, director of broadband and digital home/media at ABI Research.
I would imagine that Google must be paying someone a lot of money to keep its data centers running and in sync, Howard said. So it makes perfect sense for them to build a network themselves to connect their data centers.
Gartner analyst Allen Weiner, who predicts Google will eventually develop a Google phone, said becoming an application delivery platform would be "part of Google’s intellectual property DNA."
Google, which tends to keep long-term plans under wraps, did not return an e-mail seeking comment for this story.